Tuesday, January 29, 2019

Daily Market Report 1/29/19

http://MikesDailyMarketReport.com: A few items on the Economic Calendar today.  The Case Shiller HPI dropped from 5.3% to 5.2% in November.  Don't let the Media fool you!  Home Prices are still rising, BUT at a slower pace on Year over Year basis.  NOT the drop, as the Media likes to portray!   It will be interesting to see the numbers for the Spring, as it seems like Buyers are out shopping and buying since the holidays finished.  Also, on the Calendar is the Consumer Confidence, which dropped from 126.6 to 120.2.  Most likely a result from the prolonged Gov't Shutdown.  Stocks are trading in Mixed Territory this morning, as the DOW is the only index in Positive Territory.  Earnings and Outlook are taking center stage in Trade today.  Also, reports out on US rolling out criminal charges on Huawei for stealing Trade Secrets from US Business Partner and breaking sanctions on Iran.  This could put a big wrinkle in US/China Trade Talks!  The Fed is beginning their 2 day (first of 2019) FOMC meeting today, which they will have their announcement tomorrow at 11:30am PST.  No rate hike is expected, but Investors will review the Dot Plot for Rate Hike forecasts and comments about the Balance Sheet.  Later today, the British Parliament will be voting on an amendment to the Brexit proposal.  MBS is currently up  6bps.  It is now above it's 25 DMA and fighting to get above the next layer, Fibonacci level.  If it can break above and stay above it, then Mortgage Rates have a chance for more improvement.  There should be better pricing today for Mortgage Rates.  Yields have slipped to 2.72% and is trying to stay above it's 25 DMA.  If it breaks below it, then it could only help MBS to improve.

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