Friday, June 28, 2019

Daily Market Report 6/28/19 A lot on the Economic Calendar today!  Starting off with the Personal Income for the month of May, which was up 0.5%; whereas, Consumer Spending was up 0.4% in May.  Personal Consumption Expenditure was Up 0.2%, as was the Core PCE (also called Core Inflation) Up 0.2%, for May.  However, the PCE's YoY dropped from 1.6% to 1.5%; and the Core PCE remained Unchanged at 1.6%.  The Fed has a target rate of 2.0%, so this is well below it's target rate.  Could be another reason for Fed to cut Rates in July.  Manufacturing contracted in the Chicago Region, as the Chicago PMI dropped from 54.2 to 49.7 in June.  The final number for the Consumer Sentiment rose from 97.9 in May to 98.2 in June.  Stocks are Trading in Positive Territory this morning, but it's light trading.  For the week, they may close Unchanged, similar to MBS.  Investors are waiting on the meeting of President Trump and President Xi, which is tomorrow.  Nobody expects a deal to be completed, but looking to see if US holds off on additional Tariffs and get back to the table.  MBS are mostly unchanged, as they are Up only 2bps, and Mortgage Rates remain Unchanged from yesterday's  pricing.  Yields are currently at 2.0%.

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